Could very well be.
Bonchie is a writer for the website Red State:
This (western WI) was a Trump district that had been kind to the incumbent Democrat through multiple cycles. That’s a phenomenon we see often, including with someone like Sen. Joe Manchin. But with Kind gone, the Republican candidate becomes the odds-on favorite. That’s bad news for Democrats given how slim the margin already is for them in the House.
But this goes beyond just this one seat. Retirements like this are a harbinger of what is to come. Kind is only 58 years old. When you start to see early retirements, it’s almost always because members in swing districts are seeing the writing on the wall. This same thing happened in reverse prior to 2018, where GOP members retired expecting to lose the majority, providing the surest sign that a blue wave was coming.
For many of these current House representatives, there’s far more money to be gained and happiness to be found in the private sector as an ex-Congressional member vs. getting their just deserts in the minority (and with redistricting, the GOP will likely keep a majority for several cycles). Ask yourself: Would you want to be in the minority in Congress, away from your family for long stretches, when you can likely go be a millionaire based on the connections you made as a politician? That choice would be fairly easy for me, especially if that minority position looks to last for far longer than two years.