Today’s read is from Jerry Cave is the president of Cave Communications and has written for a number of publications, including The Atlantic where his 2016 article The Shock Jock Candidate, predicted Donald Trump’s presidential victory six months in advance; and Bill Thomas, is the author of Club Fed: Power, Money, Sex and Violence on Capitol Hill and other books. Here’s the obligatory tease, then the full column.
We now know — thanks to October — who will win on November 3. The reason we know is found in early voting data.
October voting is no longer the exclusive domain of the Democratic Party. Both parties vote early and in ever-increasing numbers. Which makes the October vote an early “action report” on the election outcome that’s more reality based than the polls or the mainstream media.
Who you vote for is a secret. When, where, and how many voters cast their ballots is not. It’s data. In this case, data in its most meaningful form: the number of early votes by registered Democrats and the number of early votes by registered Republicans.
In the final weeks of the campaign, enthusiasm for Donald Trump, demonstrated at multiple daily rallies, has been far beyond what it was four years ago. Will enthusiasm help produce another winning voter turnout for Trump?
Spoiler alert: Data generated by early voting says “yes.”
To understand why history will likely repeat itself…
To understand read all the details here.